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South Korea says North summit possible if talks go well

Reuters, SEOUL: South Korean President Lee Myung-bak on Tuesday held
out the possibility of a leaders' summit with rival North Korea if
planned inter-Korean dialogue goes well, saying he had high hopes for
their first talks in months.

The two Koreas have agreed to discuss November's attack by the North
on a southern island and an attack in March on a South Korean naval
vessel which Seoul has blamed on the North, helping to ease tension on
the peninsula and opening the way for the possible resumption of
six-party aid-for-disarmament talks.

The two attacks killed 50 people.

Seoul has suggested preliminary military talks take place at the
Panmunjom truce village on February 11. The talks are meant to set the
agenda for a more senior meeting, possibly at ministerial level.

The South has also proposed separate political talks to gauge
Pyongyangy's sincerity about denuclearization, the key component of
stalled aid-for-disarmament talks which the North walked out of two
years ago.

The North has yet to respond to the proposal for bilateral nuclear talks.

"I don't deny it," Lee said when asked during a live television
interview if progress at upcoming talks could possibly lead to a
summit between the rival Koreas' leaders. "We can have a summit if
needed."

Lee cut off a decade of unconditional aid to the North when he took
office in 2008, angering Pyongyang, and demanded the isolated neighbor
end its nuclear programs if it wanted Seoul to get back to commercial
exchange and giving aid.

Lee said he has high expectations that the North will abandon the path
it had taken in the past of staging hostile acts to raise tensions,
then seeking dialogue with the South to win concessions.

Russian police arrest dozens at anti-government rallies

Reuters, MOSCOW: Russian police detained several dozen people at
anti-Kremlin rallies in Moscow and St Petersburg on Monday as they
tried to protest against limits to freedom of assembly.

A crowd of about 600 chanted "Freedom, Freedom!" in sub-zero
temperatures on Moscow's Triumph Square, heavily outnumbered by riot
police, who dragged more than a dozen activists off to waiting buses
after detaining them at a metro exit as they headed to the rally.

"This is our democracy. Look at what happens in Russia!" yelled one
youth as black-helmeted OMON riot police arrested him.

Rights activists and Kremlin opponents have staged demonstrations on
the square on the last day of each month with 31 days, in a symbolic
reference to the right to free assembly enshrined under Article 31 of
Russia's constitution.

President Dmitry Medvedev has promised to allow more public criticism
of the authorities since he was steered to power by his close ally
Vladimir Putin, now prime minister, in 2008. But most opposition
groups say little has changed and their activities are still
restricted.

In St Petersburg, police said they had detained about 60 people at a
rally in the heart of city where protestors cried: "We demand freedom
of speech, freedom of assembly and an end to censorship."

Opposition leader Boris Nemtsov, who spent 15 days in jail after a New
Year's eve protest, rallied the Moscow crowd with calls for an end to
Putin's grip on power since he became president in 2000 and later
prime minister.

"The rubbish tip of history awaits Putin just like all dictators," he
told Reuters, raising chants of "Putin resign" and "Russia without
Putin."

Moscow authorities gave permission for 1,000 people to gather, but in
the past police have beaten or detained demonstrators they accused of
infractions at such rallies.

Before the anti-Kremlin protests police detained 11 members of an
opposition group in a weekend raid on their office and apartments,
activists said.

Police linked the searches and arrests to an investigation into
nationalist riots in December near Red Square, law enforcement sources
cited by Kommersant newspaper said.

But members of the opposition Other Russia group said the arrests were
intended to block their participation in the demonstrations on Triumph
Square.

"It was clearly meant to pressure activist so that they don't
participate in today's protests," Other Russia activist Alexander
Averin said, adding that three activists' homes were searched.

Activists were detained and questioned overnight but had all been
released by Monday morning, except for Belarusian citizen Igor
Berezyuk, who was accused of involvement in violent racist rallies on
December 11.

After last month's riots by soccer fans and neo-nationalists who
targeted non-Slavic minorities for attacks, a top Kremlin adviser
blamed liberal freedom-of-assembly demonstrations he said served as an
example to radical groups to take to streets.

In Myanmar's gleaming new capital, uncertain promise

Reuters, NAYPYITAW, Myanmar: Its name translates as "Abode of Kings,"
but it is far from clear whether Myanmar's new capital and its
gleaming new parliamentary complex can return the reclusive state to
its former glory.

Bestowed with manicured, heavily watered lawns and forbidding stone
walls, Myanmar's five-year-old capital, Naypyitaw, bears no
resemblance to the rest of the country, one of Asia's poorest, or to
nearby villages of mostly thatched wooden huts.

But as an elected parliament convened in Myanmar this week for the
first time in half a century, the capital and its newly minted
lawmakers are considered by some a tentative step toward opening a
country that just 50 years ago was one of Southeast Asia's most
promising and wealthiest.

Once the world's biggest rice exporter and a major energy producer,
the former British colony is known now as a pariah state with a
dysfunctional economy and an estimated 2,200 political activists or
opposition politicians behind bars.

Whether it will ever shake that image is a matter of intense
diplomatic debate, but a walk around the streets of the new capital
suggests its rulers are thinking big.

The sprawling city with its two new "Hluttaws," or legislative
chambers, was built from scratch just five years ago, allowing the
reclusive military rulers of the former Burma to isolate themselves
some 320 km (200 miles) from the largest city and former capital,
Yangon.

Naypyitaw is a maze of ministry buildings, government mansions, civil
servants' quarters and presidential palaces complete with grand
Roman-style pillars -- all rising from dusty, arid scrubland. At its
heart is the parliamentary complex's 31 buildings, with pagoda-style
roofs.

PUZZLINGLY WIDE ROADS

Attractions include five golf courses, seven resort-style hotels,
drinkable tap water, a Western-style shopping mall, a large zoo, a
sprawling "water fountain garden," lavish mansions and 24-hour
electricity in a nation beset by power outages.

Restaurant and shop owners told Reuters business had improved as more
laborers arrived in the city for its myriad construction projects.

Much of the work has been carried out by workers toiling in searing
heat without modern equipment.

A year ago, as construction of parliament was at full steam, Reuters
journalists witnessed women hauling stacks of bricks balanced upon
their head at one construction site, while men cleared land with
wooden-handled scythes at another.

Ox-drawn carts transported wood.

The government declines to disclose Naypyitaw's cost but analysts and
diplomatic sources say it must have cost billions of dollars, drawing
criticism from aid groups over the priorities of a country facing
chronic poverty and crumbling infrastructure.

Its rise reflects the strengthening diplomatic and financial muscle of
Myanmar's rulers as Southeast Asia and China tap its rich natural
resources, from timber and natural gas to precious Burmese gems,
despite Western sanctions imposed in response to rights abuses.

Despite its array of amenities, there's no lively city center thronged
with people, even five years after the government moved nearly all its
workers there. Officials put its population at about 1 million, but
that includes surrounding townships.

Its roads are puzzlingly wide, including one 20-lane boulevard, but
they are largely empty. Civilian cars are rare. The city center, a
roundabout where five roads meet, is populated mostly by palm trees
and potted flowers.

One person the authorities are surely happy to leave in Yangon is
opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi, a Nobel laureate freed from
detention following Myanmar's first election in two decades in
November.

Suu Kyi has yet to visit Naypyitaw and it is unclear when she will. On
Friday a special appeals court rejected her attempt to reinstate her
political party after it was dissolved for boycotting last year's
election.

Australia evacuates coastal cities in path of cyclone

Reuters, CANBERRA: Australia evacuated northeast coastal cities on
Tuesday as a cyclone rivalling the strength of Hurricane Katrina bore
down on tourism, sugar and coal mining areas and threatened areas
already devastated by floods far inland.

Cyclone Yasi is expected to generate winds of up to 280 kph (175 mph)
when it hits the Queensland state coast early on Thursday (2pm
Wednesday, GMT), matching the strength of Katrina, which devastated
New Orleans in 2005.

With a strong monsoon feeding Yasi's 650 km-wide front, the storm was
also expected to maintain its intensity long after crossing the coast
and could sweep inland as far as the outback mining city of Mt Isa.

"This storm is huge and life threatening," Queensland Premier Anna
Bligh told reporters, warning the storm was intensifying and picking
up speed on its path from the Coral Sea, and destructive gales would
begin from Wednesday morning.

Queensland, which accounts for about a fifth of Australia's economy
and 90 percent of steelmaking coal exports worth about $20.4 billion,
has had a cruel summer, with floods having swept the eastern seaboard
over the past month, killing 35 people.

"There's no time for complacency," said Mike Brunker, mayor of the
Whitsunday area which is known for its islands resorts close to the
Great Barrier Reef.

"People in low-lying areas are evacuating to friends and family or, if
they have to, leave town," he told local media.

The popular tourist state, home also to the country's main sugar
industry, bore the brunt of the floods and now risks being battered by
Yasi, which authorities said could be the most powerful tropical storm
to ever strike the area.

The cyclone could threaten around a third of the state's sugar cane
crop, an industry official said on Tuesday.

Island resorts in the Whitsundays and parts of the tourism hub of
Cairns and military town of Townsville were being evacuated along with
other areas in the danger zone, between Cooktown in the north and near
Mackay, a port, further south.

Military C-130 transport aircraft also evacuated the main hospital in
Cairns. Extra commercial flights were scheduled to cope with an
expected exodus of holidaymakers and residents.

Police were also empowered to forcibly move people from danger zones
in an area that is home to around 250,000 people.

"This is not a system that's going to cross the coast and rapidly
weaken out," Bureau of Meteorology senior forecaster Gordon Banks
said, warning winds could reach up to 280 kph and the storm could
reach Mt Isa, 900 km inland.

"We could see this system pushing well in across northern Queensland
as a significant tropical cyclone with damaging winds and very heavy
rainfall," Banks said.

COAL INDUSTRY ON ALERT -- AGAIN

Queensland's coal industry, only just recovering from recent record
floods, went back on alert on Tuesday, with at least one major mine
closing down temporarily and rail operations suspended as the industry
braced for the cyclone.

Australia's largest coal freight company, QR National, temporarily
closed two rail networks: the major Goonyella network, feeding into
the export terminals of Dalrymple Bay and Hay Point, and its smaller
Newlands line taking coal to Abbot Point, a company spokesman said

Global miner Rio Tinto shut its Hail Creek coal mine with the approach
of the cyclone.

Queensland's coal mines are mostly inland and are still struggling to
pump water out of their pits after flooding.

The Queensland Resources Council, an industry body, estimated coal
miners would take until March to return to normal, even without the
impact of cyclones.

Bligh said Yasi could be the worst tropical storm the state had seen,
with potential to cause powerful and deadly flash flooding in coastal
areas. Most of the state's major coal ports were temporarily closed to
shipping.

But she said the storm track had shifted slightly north, meaning flood
devastated and coal mining areas of central Queensland may escape the
worst of cyclonic rains.

"If there is any silver lining here, the movement of the cyclone
slightly north has meant that when it travels west and moves inland,
it is less likely to drop all of that massive rainfall into the
central Queensland catchment areas that have already experienced
flooding," Bligh said.

Last month's floods swamped around 30,000 homes, destroyed roads and
rail lines and crippled Queensland's coal industry, with up to 15
million tonnes of exports estimated to have been delayed into the
second half of this year.

Cyclone Yasi is expected to classified a "category 4" by the time it
reaches the coast, which would be the strongest to hit Australia since
Cyclone Larry hit the town of Innisfail in 2006, leveling sugar crops
and causing A$1.5 billion worth of damage.

Egyptians seek million-strong march to oust Mubarak

Reuters, CAIRO: Egypt's anti-government protesters, scenting victory
after President Hosni Mubarak agreed to discuss sweeping political
reforms, rallied support for what they hope can be a million-strong
march for democracy on Tuesday.

Mubarak's newly appointed vice-president began talks with opposition
figures and the army declared the protesters demands "legitimate" and
said it would hold its fire.

But protesters in Cairo's Tahrir Square, where thousands kept vigil
through the night in defiance of a curfew, vowed to continue their
campaign until the 82-year-old Mubarak quit.

"The only thing we will accept from him is that he gets on a plane and
leaves," said 45-year-old lawyer Ahmed Helmi.

The United States and other Western powers which have backed Mubarak
throughout his 30 years of rule, have demanded he submit to free
elections. Even if he holds out against the calls for his resignation,
it seems unlikely he could win a vote.

At least 140 people have died since demonstrations began last Tuesday,
inspired in part by Tunisians' overthrow of their aging strongman
after similar protests focusing on economic hardships and frustration
with political oppression.

The army's pledge to hold its fire was seen as tipping the scales
against Mubarak. "Mubarak has become a liability for the institution
of the army," Fawaz Gerges of the London School of Economics said.
"And so it is becoming more difficult by the day for Mubarak to remain
in office."

For the military establishment, which has run Egypt since its officers
ousted British-backed King Farouk in 1952, the aim may be to provide
reforms that preserve military influence.

For Washington and Mubarak's allies in Europe, as well as Israel,
attention will focus on how far Islamist groups, notably the hitherto
banned Muslim Brotherhood, can gain power in any new Egyptian
political system.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, used to calm on his
southern border since a 1979 peace treaty with Cairo, said Egypt could
turn into the kind of militant theocracy installed in Iran that same
year.

BROTHERHOOD SAYS ALL MUBARAK MEN MUST GO

The Brotherhood, which says it wants a pluralist democracy, has taken
a cautious approach to joining in protests led by the young and the
urban professional classes.

But it said on Monday it was calling on people to continue protests
until the whole establishment departed -- "including the president,
his party, his ministers and his parliament."

In the second city, Alexandria, thousands of people gathered near the
main railway station, many with food and blankets, saying they would
join Tuesday's "march of a million."

Officials said rail services would be disrupted on Tuesday by curfew
orders, which may keep some people away from protests.

Newly-appointed Vice President Omar Suleiman appeared on state
television on Monday to say Mubarak had asked him to begin talks with
all political forces on constitutional and other reforms. The channel
later said talks had begun.

Suleiman, an intelligence chief named on Saturday, also said a new
government sworn in by Mubarak on Monday would fight unemployment,
inflation and corruption.

The United States said Mubarak must also revoke the emergency law
under which he has ruled since 1981. Washington has sent a special
envoy, former ambassador to Cairo Frank Wisner, to meet Egyptian
leaders.

"The way Egypt looks and operates must change," said Robert Gibbs,
spokesman for President Barack Obama.

Western powers have been caught off guard by the speed with which
Mubarak's police state has been pushed back by furious but unarmed
citizens. Some analysts believe the army is now seeking a face-saving
way to have Mubarak leave.

A presidential election due in September might give Mubarak the
opportunity simply to say he will not run again. But such a tactic may
underestimate the desire on the street to see him go. "It won't work.
These are stalling tactics. I don't think Mubarak quite realizes the
gravity of the situation," said Faysal Itani of Exclusive Analysis.
"If this deadlock goes on much longer there could be a further
breakdown of order."

At Cairo University, politics professor Hassan Nafaa said: "This all
aims to gain time, calm the mood on the street, drive the protesters
away and diminish the revolution ... The president must end his rule
and leave, there is no alternative."

Foreign governments, meanwhile, scrambled to ensure the safety of
their nationals trapped by the unrest in Egypt.

Companies, from gas drillers to supermarkets, also pulled out staff as
confrontation brought economic life to a halt. Financial markets and
banks were closed for a second day.

Internationally, Europe's benchmark Brent crude oil hit $101 a barrel
on fears the unrest could spread to oil producing states like Saudi
Arabia. Smaller Arab countries such as Yemen, Sudan, Syria and Jordan
were all mentioned by analysts as candidates for popular expressions
of discontent.

Moody's downgraded Egypt's credit rating to Ba2 with a negative
outlook from Ba1, saying the government might damage its weak finances
by increasing social spending.

As foreigners flee, Cairo airport a scene of chaos

AP, CAIRO: Amid scenes of chaos at Cairo's international airport,
thousands of foreigners fled the unrest in Egypt, boarding special
flights home or to nearby Mediterranean airports.

As countries around the world scrambled to send in planes to fly their
citizens out on Monday, nerves and shouting and shoving matches
erupted as passengers crammed into Cairo airport's new Terminal 3
seeking a flight home.

"It's an absolute zoo, what a mess," said Justine Khanzadian, 23, a
graduate student from the American University of Cairo. "I decided to
leave because of the protests, the government here is just not stable
enough to stay."

Making matters worse, check-in counters were poorly staffed because
many EgyptAir employees had been unable to get to work due to a 3
p.m.-to-8 a.m. curfew and traffic breakdowns across the Egyptian
capital.

The U.S. State Department said it has evacuated more than 1,200
Americans aboard government-chartered planes and expects to fly out
roughly 1,400 more in the coming days.

State Department spokesman P.J. Crowley said that by the end of Monday
six planes will have flown nine flights ferrying U.S. citizens from
Cairo to Larnaca, Cyprus; Athens, Greece; and Istanbul, Turkey.

New York-based Pamela Huyser, who had traveled to Egypt for a
conference, arrived in Larnaca, late Monday. She described the violent
scene she witnessed from her ninth-floor hotel balcony in Cairo.

"You cannot even believe what we saw," she said. "We saw people
looting, we saw gunfire, people shooting other people. A lot of people
working in our hotel, they came out with sticks and knives and bats
and they protected us from getting looted."

Earlier, a U.S. military plane landed in Lanarca with 42 people —
mostly staff at U.S. embassies in Africa and elsewhere who had also
traveled to Egypt for a conference.

Additional flights were also being arranged in Turkey and neighbor
Greece, where authorities announced plans to increase coast guard
patrols to deter immigrants from troubled north African countries from
reaching the European Union member.

Greek oil worker Markos Loukogiannakis, who arrived in Athens on a
flight carrying 181 passengers including 65 U.S. citizens, said
confusion reigned at Cairo airport and travelers had to negotiate a
string of checkpoints just to get there.

"In a 22-kilometer (14-mile) route from our suburb to the airport we
had to get through 19 checkpoints, including nine manned by
civilians," he said. "There were lots of people gathering at the
airport and it was very difficult to get in."

He said security had deteriorated sharply over the past three days in
Cairo after police withdrew from the streets.

In Germany, a special Lufthansa plane arrived in Frankfurt late Monday
night with evacuees from Cairo.

Among the passengers was Guenther Kremer from Troisdorf in western
Germany. He told reporters that the situation in Cairo was "chaotic."

"The big problem was, that one didn't have any information, one didn't
know what is going to happen the next day — am I getting out or not,"
he said.

"We had to wait for three days to fly out — Egypt Air had canceled, so
we were quite happy when Lufthansa showed up today and got us out."

In a geopolitical shift, even Iraq decided it would evacuate its
citizens, sending three planes to Egypt — including the prime
minister's plane — to bring home for free those who wish to return.
Thousands of Iraqis had once fled to Egypt to escape the violence in
their own country.

About 800 Iraqis had left Cairo by Monday afternoon, said Capt.
Mohammed al-Moussawi, a crew member for the prime minister's plane. He
said the flights would continue until all those who wished to return
had done so.

Nearly 320 Indian nationals arrived in Mumbai on a special Air India
flight and another 275 were expected later. An Azerbaijan flight
carrying 103 people and the body of an Azeri Embassy accountant killed
in the unrest arrived in Baku, and Turkey sent five planes to Cairo
and Alexandria, evacuating 1,548 Turkish nationals.

Air Canada said a flight chartered by the Canadian government landed
in Frankfurt, Germany, on Monday, carrying 174 Canadians plus 36 other
foreigners, mostly Americans and Australians. A second
Canadian-chartered flight was due to depart from Cairo on Tuesday.

Tristin Hutton, a bush pilot from Fort Francis, Ontario, who had been
visiting his sister at the Canadian Embassy in Cairo, described a
chaotic scene at the Cairo airport.

"People holding tickets had difficulties getting on the plane, because
the airport in Cairo is pure chaos," the 44-year-old said.

"The terminals are full of panicking people. The ground staff is
disappearing and at the gate, just before entering, we all together
had to collect $2,000 for a policeman at the door," he said. "He would
not let us pass without paying."

Indonesia was sending a plane to Cairo to start evacuating some 6,150
Indonesians — mostly students and workers — and SAS Denmark was flying
home some 60 Danes.

China sent four planes to help pick up an estimated 500 Chinese
stranded in Cairo and warned citizens not travel to Egypt.

That echoed earlier warnings from Britain, Sweden, Finland, Norway,
Denmark and the Czech Republic, which all advised against all
nonessential travel to Egypt. Many European tour companies canceled
trips to Egypt until Feb. 23, while others left the cancellations open
until further notice.

One big question was what to do with the tens of thousands of tourists
in other parts of Egypt. Tour operators say they will fly home all
their customers this week when their holidays end, or on extra
flights, stressing there has not been any unrest in Red Sea resort
cities like Hurghada or Sharm el-Sheik. Still, food shortages were
starting to be felt at some Egyptian resorts and some restaurants were
refusing to serve foreigners.

All major German tour operators — among them TUI AG and Thomas Cook's
German subsidiary — canceled day trips to Cairo and Luxor.

Britain estimated there were 30,000 U.K. tourists and long-term
residents in Egypt but said it had no plans to evacuate them. Foreign
Secretary William Hague warned people against all but essential travel
to Cairo, Alexandria, Luxor and Suez.

The Danish company shipping company A.P. Moller-Maersk A/S chartered a
plane to pick up relatives of its Danish employees in Egypt. The
company said there were no terminal operations in Egypt on Monday and
the Maersk Line, Safmarine and Damco offices were closed.

Air France canceled its daily flight from Paris to Cairo on Monday and
planned to increase its capacity Tuesday by an extra 200 seats.

Portugal sent a C-130 military transport plane to evacuate its
citizens. Greece was sending three C-130 military transport planes to
Alexandria on Tuesday and the Polish airline LOT was flying to Cairo.

Cyclone roars toward Australia's flooded north

AP, SYDNEY: A strong tropical cyclone roaring toward Australia's
flood-ravaged northeast will likely cause powerful and deadly
flash-flooding, officials warned Tuesday, as residents braced for
what's predicted to be one of the fiercest storms the region has ever
seen.

Cyclone Yasi was barreling toward the Queensland state coast as a
strong Category 3 storm on Tuesday with winds up to 137 mph (220 kph).
It was expected to hit the coast Wednesday as a violent Category 4
storm with wind gusts up to 155 mph (250 kph), dumping up to three
feet (one meter) of rain on communities already saturated from months
of flooding.

"This storm is huge and it is life-threatening," Queensland Premier
Anna Bligh said. "I know many of us will feel that Queensland has
already borne about as much as we can bear when it comes to disasters
and storms, but more is being asked of us — and I am confident that we
are able to rise to this next challenge."

Yasi would be the second storm to batter Queensland in a week. Cyclone
Anthony weakened quickly after hitting land Monday morning, and damage
was limited to uprooted trees and downed power lines.

Queensland has already suffered flooding since heavy rains started in
November. The floodwaters killed 35 people, damaged or destroyed
30,000 homes and businesses and left Brisbane, Australia's
third-largest city, under water for days.

Yasi is expected to strike farther north and spare Brisbane and towns
that have suffered the worst of the recent flooding. Still, Bligh said
the storm's path could change and residents up and down the coast
needed to be prepared.

"We could see very powerful flash flooding that will be dangerous and
potentially deadly," said Bligh, who described the storm as one of the
largest and most significant cyclones the state has ever seen.

Hamilton Island, a popular tourist destination off Queensland, began
evacuating some visitors on Monday, and other islands were considering
doing the same, Bligh said. Some nursing homes along the coast were
evacuating, and residents of low-lying areas were urged to consider
leaving their homes until the storm has passed.

"We're telling anyone in the low-lying areas they need to be moving
today and find another place to go to," said Val Schier, mayor of the
northern Queensland city of Cairns.

Deputy Police Commissioner Ian Stewart said residents should be
prepared with flashlights, food and water.

"Please make no mistake: this storm is a deadly event," Stewart said.
"Now is the time to act. Prepare yourself. Relocate out of the
high-risk zones."

Haiti: Aristide can have passport, hasn't applied

AP, PORT-AU-PRINCE, Haiti: Former Haitian President Jean-Bertrand
Aristide is eligible for a passport but has not applied for one,
Haitian officials said Monday.

That followed a letter from the ousted leader's U.S. lawyer, Ira
Kurzban, telling officials at Haiti's foreign affairs and interior
ministries that he understood they had agreed to issue Aristide a
diplomatic passport.

"I kindly request that his diplomatic passport be issued immediately
and that plans for his return commence immediately," he said. The
letter was forwarded to reporters.

But Interior Minister Paul-Antoine Bien-Aime said in an official
letter, sent later Monday, that no passport had been requested. "It
appears that to date, neither ministry had received a request for
issuance or renewal of passports from the former President
Jean-Bertrand Aristide," he wrote.

Aristide is a former priest and liberation theologist who rose to
become Haiti's first democratically elected president. He was
overthrown in a coup, restored to power, then ousted again in 2004.
His return was forced by the threat of a U.S. military invasion;
debate has raged for years over what role the U.S. played in his
departures.

His lack of a valid passport has long been given as a principal
technical reason impeding his return. Haitian officials say that he
would not need a passport to re-enter Haiti, but could need one to
pass through other countries on his way back from his exile in South
Africa.

Bien-Aime's letter was sent to media in two versions, one French and
the other Haitian Creole. The French version says: "The Government of
the Republic gives its assurance that as soon as it is made, such a
request will be honored promptly."

The Creole differs slightly: "The government gives a guarantee that if
President Aristide requests a passport, it will respond to him
quickly."

Fritz Longchamp, Preval's chief of staff, said: "The French version is
more accurate than the Creole."

He said government ministers decided last Tuesday to announce that
Aristide could get a passport if he applied. Longchamp said this has
been a long-standing position of the government, reiterated to "lay to
rest all the speculation" that the Haitian government was preventing
his return.

Speculation that Aristide might come back to Haiti soared after
ex-dictator Jean-Claude "Baby Doc" Duvalier stepped off an Air France
jet in January in a shocking return from nearly 25 years of exile.

If Aristide followed, he would arrive in the midst of a potentially
destabilizing political crisis in which President Rene Preval's chosen
candidate is deadlocked with a rival for the remaining spot in a
delayed electoral runoff.

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton came to Haiti on Sunday
to meet with Preval and the candidates. Final results from the Nov. 28
first round are expected Wednesday with the vote rescheduled for March
20.

Preval, who was once Aristide's close ally but now regarded as a
traitor by his partisans, faces the constitutional end of his term on
Feb. 7, though a law passed last year could allow him to stay longer.

Aristide could not participate in the election as a candidate, and has
said he does not want to.

But his return would be a bombshell that could change the course of
the race by setting off unrest or reawakening dormant political
allegiances. He remains popular in many circles but his Fanmi Lavalas
party was not permitted to participate in this or other recent
elections.

Last week a full-page ad ran in the Miami Herald calling for a new
passport and for Aristide's immediate return. It carried 190
signatures including social organizations, political figures such as
Jesse Jackson and deputy U.N. Special Envoy to Haiti Paul Farmer,
entertainers Harry Belafonte and actor Danny Glover, and names
associated with controversy such as the Rev. Jeremiah Wright and
imprisoned radio journalist Mumia Abu-Jamal.

U.S. State Department spokesman P.J. Crowley posted on Twitter last
week: "We do not doubt President Aristide's desire to help the people
of Haiti. But today Haiti needs to focus on its future, not its past."

Clinton told Radio Metropole on Sunday: "I don't know what, if any,
plans President Aristide has."

Over the weekend, Internet rumors spread citing a Venezuelan news
report that Aristide had traveled to the nearby island of Cuba.
Kurzban said the rumors are untrue and the ex-president was in South
Africa on Monday.

Egypt's army promises no force against protesters

AP, CAIRO: Egypt's military pledged not to fire on protesters in a
sign that army support for President Hosni Mubarak may be unraveling
on the eve of a major escalation — a push for a million people to take
to the streets Tuesday to demand the authoritarian leader's ouster.

More than 10,000 people beat drums, played music and chanted slogans
in Tahrir Square, which has become the epicenter of a week of protests
demanding an end to Mubarak's three decades in power.

With the organizers' calling for a "march of a million people," the
vibe in the sprawling plaza — whose name in Arabic means "Liberation"
— was of an intensifying feeling that the uprising was nearing a
decisive point.

"He only needs a push!" was one of the most frequent chants, and a
leaflet circulated by some protesters said it was time for the
military to choose between Mubarak and the people.

The latest gesture by Mubarak aimed at defusing the crisis fell flat.
His top ally, the United States, roundly rejected his announcement of
a new government Monday that dropped his highly unpopular interior
minister, who heads police forces and has been widely denounced by the
protesters.

The crowds in the streets were equally unimpressed.

"It's almost the same government, as if we are not here, as if we are
sheep," sneered one protester, Khaled Bassyouny, a 30-year-old
Internet entrepreneur. He said it was time to escalate the marches.
"It has to burn. It has to become ugly. We have to take it to the
presidential palace."

Another concession came late Monday, when Vice President Omar Suleiman
— appointed by Mubarak only two days earlier — went on state TV to
announce the offer of a dialogue with "political forces" for
constitutional and legislative reforms.

Click image to see photos of anti-government protests in Egypt


Reuters/Yannis Behrakis

Suleiman did not say what the changes would entail or which groups the
government would speak with. Opposition forces have long demanded the
lifting of restrictions on who is eligible to run for president to
allow a real challenge to the ruling party, as well as measures to
ensure elections are fair. A presidential election is scheduled for
September .

In Washington, White House spokesman Robert Gibbs dismissed the naming
of the new government, saying the situation in Egypt calls for action,
not appointments.

Publicly, the Obama administration has declined to discuss the subject
of Mubarak's future. However, administration officials said Monday
that Washington prefers Mubarak not contest the upcoming vote. They
spoke on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of
diplomacy.

The State Department said that a retired senior diplomat — former
ambassador to Egypt Frank Wisner — was now on the ground in Cairo and
will meet Egyptian officials to urge them to embrace broad economic
and political changes that can pave the way for free and fair
elections.

The army statement, aired on state TV, said the powerful military
recognizes "the legitimacy of the people's demands" — the strongest
sign yet that it is willing to let the protests continue and even grow
as long as they remain peaceful, even if that leads to the fall of
Mubarak.

If the 82-year-old president, a former air force commander, loses the
support of the military, it would likely be a fatal blow to his rule.

For days, army tanks and troops have surrounded Tahrir Square, keeping
the protests confined but doing nothing to stop people from joining.

Military spokesman Ismail Etman said the military "has not and will
not use force against the public" and underlined that "the freedom of
peaceful expression is guaranteed for everyone."

He added the caveats, however, that protesters should not commit "any
act that destabilizes security of the country" or damage property.

Looting that erupted over the weekend across the city of around 18
million eased — but Egyptians endured another day of the virtual halt
of normal life, raising fears of damage to the economy if the crisis
drags on. Trains stopped running Monday, possibly an attempt by
authorities to prevent residents of the provinces from joining
protests in the capital.

A curfew imposed for a fourth straight day — starting an hour earlier,
at 3 p.m. — was widely ignored. Banks, schools and the stock market in
Cairo were closed for the second working day, making cash tight. An
unprecedented complete shutdown of the Internet was also in its fourth
day. Long lines formed outside bakeries as people tried to replenish
their stores of bread.

Cairo's international airport was a scene of chaos as thousands of
foreigners sought to flee the unrest, and countries around the world
scrambled to send in planes to fly their citizens out.

Incidents of looting continued. In Cairo, soldiers detained about 50
men trying to break into the Egyptian National Museum in a fresh
attempt to steal the country's archaeological treasures, the military
said. An attempt to break into an antiquities storehouse at the famed
Pharaonic Karnak Temple in the ancient southern city of Luxor was also
foiled.

The official death toll from the crisis stood at 97, with thousands
injured, but reports from witnesses across the country indicated the
actual toll was far higher.

Mubarak appeared fatigued as he was shown on state TV swearing in the
members of his new Cabinet. The most significant change in the
shake-up was the replacement of the interior minister, Habib el-Adly,
who heads internal security forces and is widely despised by
protesters for the brutality some officers have shown. A retired
police general, Mahmoud Wagdi, will replace him.

Of the 29-member Cabinet, 14 were new faces, most of them not members
of the ruling National Democratic Party. Among those purged were
several of the prominent businessmen who held economic posts and have
engineered the country's economic liberalization policies the past
decades. Many Egyptians resented the influence of millionaire
politician-moguls, who were close allies of the president's son,
Gamal, long thought to be the heir apparent.

Mubarak retained his long-serving defense minister, Field Marshal
Hussein Tantawi, and Foreign Minister Ahmed Aboul Gheit.

A major question throughout the unprecedented unrest has been whether
protests that began as a decentralized eruption of anger largely by
grass-roots activists can coalesce into a unified political leadership
to press demands and keep up momentum.

There were signs Monday of an attempt to do so, as around 30
representatives from various opposition groups met to work out a joint
stance.

The gathering issued the call for Tuesday's escalated protests but did
not reach a final agreement on a list of demands. They were to meet
again Tuesday to try to do so and decide whether to make prominent
reform advocate Mohamed ElBaradei spokesman for the protesters, said
Abu'l-Ela Madi, a spokesman of one of the participating groups,
al-Wasat, a moderate breakaway faction from the Muslim Brotherhood.

Unity is far from certain among the array of movements involved in the
protests, with sometimes conflicting agendas — including students,
online activists, grass-roots organizers, old-school opposition
politicians and the fundamentalist Muslim Brotherhood, along with
everyday citizens drawn by the exhilaration of marching against the
government.

The various protesters have little in common beyond the demand that
Mubarak go. Perhaps the most significant tensions among them is
between young secular activists and the Muslim Brotherhood, which
wants to form an Islamist state in the Arab world's largest nation.
The more secular are deeply suspicious the Brotherhood aims to co-opt
what they contend is a spontaneous, popular movement. American
officials have suggested they have similar fears.

ElBaradei, a pro-democracy advocate and former head of the U.N.
nuclear watchdog, invigorated anti-Mubarak feeling with his return to
Egypt last year, but the outlawed Muslim Brotherhood remains Egypt's
largest opposition movement.

In a nod to the suspicions, Brotherhood figures insist they are not
seeking a leadership role.

"We don't want to harm this revolution," Mohamed Mahdi Akef, a former
leader of the group.

Still, Brotherhood members appeared to be joining the protest in
greater numbers and more openly. During the first few days of
protests, the crowd in Tahrir Square was composed of mostly young men
in jeans and T-shirts.

On Monday, many of the volunteers handing out food and water to
protesters were men in long traditional dress with the trademark
Brotherhood appearance — a closely cropped haircut and bushy beards.

Japan volcano erupts with big blast of ash, rocks

AP, TOKYO: A revived Japanese volcano has erupted with its biggest
explosion yet, sending a huge plume of gas, rocks and ash into the sky
and breaking windows 5 miles (8 kilometers) away.

Officials widened the danger zone to keep residents away. The eruption
early Tuesday was the biggest since the Shinmoedake volcano burst to
life last week.

Wide areas were covered with ash and boulders landed on roads miles
(kilometers) away. The blast also knocked down trees and broke
hundreds of windows in local hotels and offices.

The volcano is in the remote Kirishima range on the southern island of
Kyushu. Public broadcaster NHK said a woman suffered cuts from
shattered glass in Tuesday's blast. No serious injuries have been
reported.

Pakistan woos the West with fashion week

AFP, Islamabad: Daring denims and micro miniskirts are not typical on
Pakistan catwalks, but at the capital's first ever fashion week,
designers have turned to risque Western styles to lure foreign buyers
back.
With the national economy hit by crippling debts and a torrid
political scene, fashion industry insiders hope the modern designs can
capitalise on the country's long-standing reputation as a global
textile capital.
Islambad's glitterati, a niche group of fashion-forward entrepreneurs
in the largely poor nation, held a four-day design showcase to
encourage international business — scared off by the threat of Taliban
bombs — to return.
'One reason for doing this is to bring the buying power of the world
back to Pakistan,' said organiser Tariq Amin, the country's best known
stylist.
'Because of the current situation and the political situation, it's
difficult for them (buyers) to want to come to Lahore and Karachi, so
Islamabad... the embassies are here, there's a lot more security.'
Security was indeed tight at Islamabad's luxury Serena Hotel, as
models picked from the streets of Pakistan's main cities sashayed down
the runway, showcasing the country's talent for colourful ornate and
sheer fabrics.
Edgy and bold off-the-shoulder cuts hit the runway alongside more
familiar long floating dresses, less likely to offend sensibilities in
the devout Muslim nation.
Designers hope that by slashing hemlines they can maximise foreign profits.
'You can't sell shalwar kameez in the West,' said Amin, referring to
the plain cotton tunic most commonly worn by men in Pakistan.
Pakistan's textile and clothing industry brings in 60 per cent of the
country's export revenues, according to official data, making it
critical to reviving economic fortunes, made worse by devastating
floods last year.
While other Pakistani cities such as Karachi are used to holding
fashion shows, Islamabad is new to the scene. A total of 32 designers
put on catwalk shows from Thursday to Sunday.
But the audience was largely Pakistani, with few foreign buyers seen
milling around outside the hotel's large conference hall where new and
more established designers staged their shows.
One buyer, Iranian Soheil Mazinani, of fashion house Asmaneh, said the
event's success would be judged by future business, not by its
popularity this time around.
Likening the show now to a 'baby', Mazinani said: 'I think after one
or two years it can grow and you will see a lot of buyers.'
But he admitted he would not be making any purchases on this trip, and
that the Western styles would be equally out of place on the streets
of Iran.
'We are just getting familiar with the different designers and
manufacturers,' he said, adding: 'Ladies can wear them for
celebrations, in parties or private events — underground.'
Fashion is a key engine for growth for countries such as Pakistan,
said Paco De Jaimes, founder of the not-for-profit World Fashion
Association, which aims to foster poor nations' participation in the
lucrative fashion business.
'(Fashion is) one of the main sectors (in Pakistan) and this helps
very much countries to recover their economies,' said De Jaimes.
'People don't realise how fashion industries contribute to the
eradication of poverty, to social integration, to empowerment of
women,' he said.
'Any kind of initiative that can promote that foreign step is always good.'
Zohra Khokhar, a 25-year-old designer who works with her mother for
their label Deeba & Zoe, said they came to Pakistan from Scotland six
years ago to capitalise on the availability of good materials.
'You can do everything here from start to finish, from the dyeing of
the material to the finishing of the beads and everything,' she said.
But breaking into the market is now harder than ever because of global
inflation pushing up manufacturing costs, she added.
'What people need to understand is that Pakistan's not as cheap as
they think. All over the world prices have gone up... so materials are
dearer, labour's dearer, you can't expect to get a massive profit out
of it.'

Indonesia jails pop star over Internet sex tape

Reuters, Jakarta, Monday, Jan 31, 2011:
An Indonesian pop star whose sex tapes with his celebrity girlfriends
spread wildly on the internet was jailed on Monday for three and a
half years, in a case that led to a wide crackdown on Internet porn in
the country.
The trial highlighted a divide between a youthful Indonesia set
against censorship on the internet and conservative pressure groups in
the world's most populous Muslim country who rallied outside the court
demanding a harsher penalty.
Nazril "Ariel" Irham, 30, was jailed under a controversial pornography
law, which was passed in 2008 to ban public displays of nudity and
behaviour that could incite lust.
"The defendant is legitimately and convincingly guilty of giving
chances for others to spread, make and provide pornography," said
judge Singgih Budi Prakoso in a west Javan court where 1,000 police
tried to control a rowdy crowd.
Police said earlier a friend of Irham's had taken the sex tape off his
computer and posted it on the Internet. Irham denied it was him on the
tape.
The crowd at the court included teenaged female fans of Irham's band,
Peterpan, wearing T-shirts with the word "freedom", and skullcap- and
headscarf-wearing members of Islamic groups.
Members of both groups were angered by the verdict. Irham was also
fined 250 million rupiah ($27,692).
Under the pornography law, anyone who produces, makes, copies,
circulates, broadcasts, offers, trades, loans or provides pornography
can be jailed for between six months and 12 years and can be fined up
to six billion rupiah ($665,900).
The law was seen by many as a step back in democratic and officially
secular Indonesia, where foreign investors are hoping for more
openness and pro-market reforms to increase its allure as an emerging
market investment destination.
After the Irham case blew up, Communications and Information Minister
Tifatul Sembiring, of the Islamic PKS party, called for tighter
internet controls, including requiring providers to stop access to
pornography or browsing services could be closed.
Research in Motion, makers of the popular Blackberry telephone and
messaging system, said two weeks ago it would comply with the
government's order to block access to pornographic sites via its
devices.
"What is an issue here is not Ariel, but rights supporters versus
morality enforcers. Tough choice: porn star or oppressors?" said
political commentator Wimar Witoelar on Twitter.